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China U21 vs Mexico U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Yang Chaosheng
58' Event
Hernandez D.
72'
Hernandez D.

AI Match Summary

The Toulon Tournament 2014 game between China U21 and Mexico U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
China U21
20%
Draws
47%
Mexico U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U21 come out ahead of China U21 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U21 taking it.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mexico U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
China U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U21 Mexico U21
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.91 1.91
Goals Conceded 2 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Mexico U21
1:3
May 29, 2014 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Mexico U21
0:1
Jun 6, 2011 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Mexico U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U21 12 / 100
Mexico U21 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U21 Mexico U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U21's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Mexico U21 let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: China U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U21 VS Mexico U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

China U21

(Home)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
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Mexico U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Portugal U21 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Mexico U21 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
4 China U21 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
5 Chile U21 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U21 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 England U21 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
3 South Korea U21 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
4 Colombia U21 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
5 Qatar U21 4 0 2 2 2:12 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)