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China U21 vs Qatar U19

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Al Ganehi A.
80' Event
Cong Zhen
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Toulon Tournament 2018 game between China U21 and Qatar U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
China U21
20%
Draws
29%
Qatar U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Qatar U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
China U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Qatar U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U21 Qatar U19
Matches Played 22 25
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.91 2.16
Goals Conceded 2 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Qatar U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Qatar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ganehi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U21 36 / 100
Qatar U19 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U21 Qatar U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Attacking prowess: China U21 scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

China U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U21 VS Qatar U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China U21

(Home)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
Page 1 of 5

Qatar U19

(Away)
07 Sept
Iceland U19
0 : 1
Qatar U19
05 Sept
Slovenia U19
1 : 1
Qatar U19
29 Mar
Saudi Arabia U19
2 : 1
Qatar U19
06 Oct
Croatia U19
7 : 0
Qatar U19
17 Sept
Qatar U19
1 : 2
Indonesia U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 England U21 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 China U21 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
4 Qatar U19 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland U21 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 France U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Togo U21 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 South Korea U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Canada U21 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Japan U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Portugal U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams