Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U21 vs Russia U21

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Saltykov N.

AI Match Summary

Russia U21 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
China U21
15%
Draws
54%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia U21 have won more games recently than China U21.
  • Russia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
China U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 5 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.91 2.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Friendly International
China U21 vs Russia U21
0:1
Oct 11, 2024 Friendly International
China U21 vs Russia U21
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saltykov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U21 10 / 100
Russia U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

China U21 scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Russia U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

China U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U21 VS Russia U21
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China U21

(Home)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
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