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China U22 vs South Korea U22 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2025 Dafeng Olympic Sports Center, Yancheng
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Match Events

87' Event
Liu Haofan

AI Match Summary

China U22 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored China U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
China U22
20%
Draws
42%
South Korea U22
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • China U22 haven't matched South Korea U22's recent run of results.
  • China U22 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and China U22 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
China U22 Clean Sheet 19%
South Korea U22 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U22 South Korea U22
Matches Played 24 23
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.35
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
China U22 vs South Korea U22
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Friendly International
China U22 vs South Korea U22
1:0
Dec 11, 2012 Friendly International
China U22 vs South Korea U22
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Haofan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

South Korea U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U22 40 / 100
South Korea U22 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U22 South Korea U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: China U22 scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

China U22 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: South Korea U22 conceded in 52% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

China U22 VS South Korea U22
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

China U22

(Home)
18 Nov
China U22
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U22
15 Nov
China U22
2 : 0
South Korea U22
12 Nov
China U22
0 : 1
Vietnam U22
07 Jun
Belarus U21
1 : 1
China U22
04 Jun
China U22
2 : 1
Myanmar U22
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South Korea U22

(Away)
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
15 Nov
China U22
2 : 0
South Korea U22
12 Nov
South Korea U22
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U22
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U22
1 : 3
South Korea U22
23 Mar
China U22
1 : 0
South Korea U22
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