Sport Picks
China U23 vs North Korea U23
Asia
Asian Games Wave Stadium Kariya, Kariya 
Match Events
14'
14'
Mao W.
27'
27'
Choe Kuk
44'
44'
Zhang Yuning
AI Match Summary
China U23 in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored China U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to China U23 lately — more wins on the board than North Korea U23.
- Model gives China U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
China U23 Clean Sheet 68%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | China U23 | North Korea U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 25 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Asian Games
China U23 vs North Korea U23
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
China U23 vs North Korea U23
1:1
Sep 15, 2014 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs China U23
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
China U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals Assists Leader Wu Xi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
North Korea U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Choe Kuk
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
China U23 86 / 100
North Korea U23 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
China U23 North Korea U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick China U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
China U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
China U23 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
North Korea U23 let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
China U23 VS North Korea U23
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
38% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
China U23
(Home) 16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
09 Jun
China U23
3 : 0 Tajikistan U23
06 Jun
China U23
1 : 0 Tajikistan U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0 Vietnam U23
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16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
09 Jun
China U23
3 : 0 Tajikistan U23
06 Jun
China U23
1 : 0 Tajikistan U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0 Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 4
North Korea U23
(Away) 16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1 Thailand U23
28 Mar
China U23
1 : 1 North Korea U23
25 Mar
Vietnam U23
1 : 1 North Korea U23
01 Oct
Japan U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
Page 1 of 5
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
28 Mar
China U23
1 : 1 North Korea U23
25 Mar
Vietnam U23
1 : 1 North Korea U23
01 Oct
Japan U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
21 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 1 North Korea U23
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Thailand U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | China U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | North Korea U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Vietnam U23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Kuwait U23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Philippines U23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar U23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
