Sport Picks

China U23 vs Timor-Leste U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23

China U23

2 - 1

Timor-Leste U23

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Abduweli Behram

45'

Wang Y.

52'

Freitas Gali

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

China U23

30%

Draws

23%

Timor-Leste U23

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: China U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Timor-Leste U23 haven't matched China U23's recent run of results.
Model gives China U23 a 47% chance of winning this.
China U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor China U23, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

China U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	China U23	Timor-Leste U23
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	19	7
Draws	8	3
Losses	6	20
Goals Scored	1.58	1.27
Goals Conceded	0.7	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23

China U23 vs Timor-Leste U23

2:1

Aug 14, 2018 Asian Games

China U23 vs Timor-Leste U23

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduweli Behram

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wang Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas Gali

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U23 58 / 100

Timor-Leste U23 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

China U23 Timor-Leste U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

China U23 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Timor-Leste U23 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

China U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U23 VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

0.5 Goals Conceded 0

25% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

China U23

(Home)

03 Oct

China U23

3 : 2

Uzbekistan U23

30 Sept

South Korea U23

2 : 1

China U23

26 Sept

China U23

3 : 0

Thailand U23

23 Sept

China U23

0 : 0

United Arab Emirates U23

20 Sept

Iran U23

0 : 0

China U23

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Timor-Leste U23

(Away)

09 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

6 : 0

Northern Mariana Islands U23

06 Sept

Timor-Leste U23

0 : 6

Australia U23

03 Sept

China U23

2 : 1

Timor-Leste U23

19 Jul

Timor-Leste U23

0 : 4

Thailand U23

16 Jul

Myanmar U23

4 : 4

Timor-Leste U23

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