Sport Picks
China U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
Asia
Asian Games Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 
Match Events
52'
52'
Burghash M.
52'
52'
Wang Y.
57'
57'
Ndiaye J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: China U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- United Arab Emirates U23 haven't matched China U23's recent run of results.
- Model gives China U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
China U23 Clean Sheet 68%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | China U23 | United Arab Emirates U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Asian Games
China U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:0
Apr 22, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs China U23
1:2
Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs China U23
0:0
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs China U23
3:0
Mar 23, 2022 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs China U23
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
China U23 77 / 100
United Arab Emirates U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
China U23 United Arab Emirates U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick China U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
China U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
China U23 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
United Arab Emirates U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
China U23 VS United Arab Emirates U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
China U23
(Home) 26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0 Thailand U23
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
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26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0 Thailand U23
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
09 Jun
China U23
3 : 0 Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 4
United Arab Emirates U23
(Away) 23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
03 Jun
South Korea U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 2 | North Korea U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Iran U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Philippines U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Kuwait U23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea U23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar U23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)
