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China U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U23 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored China U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
China U23
20%
Draws
48%
Uzbekistan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U23 average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of China U23's 1.48.
  • Model gives Uzbekistan U23 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
China U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U23 Uzbekistan U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Friendly International
China U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs China U23
0:1
Jan 12, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
China U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
0:2
Jan 12, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs China U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U23 20 / 100
Uzbekistan U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U23 Uzbekistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U23's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Uzbekistan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: China U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U23 VS Uzbekistan U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

China U23

(Home)
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
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Uzbekistan U23

(Away)
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
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