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China vs Australia

World World

World Championship 2026 Changzhou Olympic Sports Centre, Changzhou
China Logo

China

0 - 2
FT
Australia Logo

Australia

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Xie Wenneng
16' Event
Irvine J.
29' Event
Velupillay N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Australia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
China
35%
Draws
25%
Australia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Australia have won more games recently than China.
  • Win probability leans China's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Australia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
China Clean Sheet 68%
Australia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China Australia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
China vs Australia
0:2
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
Australia vs China
3:1
Nov 16, 2021 World Championship
China vs Australia
1:1
Sep 2, 2021 World Championship
Australia vs China
3:0
Jan 22, 2015 Asian Cup
China vs Australia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China Compare

Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Australia Compare

Top Goalscorer Irvine J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velupillay N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China 68 / 100
Australia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China Australia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: China stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: China scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Australia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

China VS Australia
1.17 Goals Scored 1.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

China

(Home)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
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Australia

(Away)
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1
Australia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)