Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Chongqing Olympic Sports Centre

China

1 - 0

Bahrain

Our Tip

Match Events

59'

Sub

Xie Wenneng In: Liu Chengyu

Out: Xie Wenneng

59'

Sub

Serginho In: Xu Haoyang

Out: Serginho

81'

Sub

Abduljabbar M. In: Abdulkarim H.

Out: Abduljabbar M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

China in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored China.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

China

Draws

Bahrain

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bahrain haven't matched China's recent run of results.
Model gives China a 90% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

China Clean Sheet 68%

Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	China	Bahrain
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	9	8
Draws	6	4
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.2	0.75
Goals Conceded	1	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

China vs Bahrain

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 14, 2024 World Championship

Bahrain vs China

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 10, 2018 Friendly International

Bahrain vs China

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International

China vs Bahrain

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jul 17, 2004 Asian Cup

China vs Bahrain

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China 95 / 100

Bahrain 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

China Bahrain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahrain conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

China went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bahrain lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China VS Bahrain

1.2 Goals Scored 0.75

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

80% Over 1.5 63%

40% Over 2.5 63%

20% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran	10	7	2	1	19:8	23
2	Uzbekistan	10	6	3	1	14:7	21
3	United Arab Emirates	10	4	3	3	15:8	15
4	Qatar	10	4	1	5	17:24	13
5	Kyrgyzstan	10	2	2	6	12:18	8
6	North Korea	10	0	3	7	9:21	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea	10	6	4	0	20:7	22
2	Jordan	10	4	4	2	16:8	16
3	Iraq	10	4	3	3	9:9	15
4	Oman	10	3	2	5	9:14	11
5	Palestine	10	2	4	4	10:13	10
6	Kuwait	10	0	5	5	7:20	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan	10	7	2	1	30:3	23
2	Australia	10	5	4	1	16:7	19
3	Saudi Arabia	10	3	4	3	7:8	13
4	Indonesia	10	3	3	4	9:20	12
5	China	10	3	0	7	7:20	9
6	Bahrain	10	1	3	6	5:16	6