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China vs Bahrain

World World

World Championship 2026 Chongqing Olympic Sports Centre, Chongqing
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Xie Wenneng In: Liu Chengyu
Out: Xie Wenneng
59'
Sub
Serginho In: Xu Haoyang
Out: Serginho
81'
Sub
Abduljabbar M. In: Abdulkarim H.
Out: Abduljabbar M.

AI Match Summary

China in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored China.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
China
20%
Draws
34%
Bahrain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahrain haven't matched China's recent run of results.
  • Model gives China a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
China Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China Bahrain
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
China vs Bahrain
1:0
Nov 14, 2024 World Championship
Bahrain vs China
0:1
Sep 10, 2018 Friendly International
Bahrain vs China
0:0
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
China vs Bahrain
1:1
Jul 17, 2004 Asian Cup
China vs Bahrain
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China 95 / 100
Bahrain 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China Bahrain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahrain conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

China went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bahrain lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China VS Bahrain
1.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China

(Home)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
Page 1 of 6

Bahrain

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)