Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China vs Maldives

World World

Friendly International Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
3 - 0
11:35 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Zhong Yihao
46'
Sub
Huang Jiahui In: Wang Shangyuan
Out: Huang Jiahui
46'
Sub
Zhong Yihao In: Chen Pu
Out: Zhong Yihao

AI Match Summary

China host Maldives in the Friendly International. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Maldives have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while China have conceded 1.46 and scored 0.89. Past meetings favor China slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward China. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
China
30%
Draws
23%
Maldives
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldives carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans China's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and China have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
China Clean Sheet 20%
Maldives Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China Maldives
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.89 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Friendly International
China vs Maldives
3:0
Jun 11, 2021 World Championship
China vs Maldives
5:0
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Maldives vs China
0:5
Mar 24, 2016 World Championship
China vs Maldives
4:0
Sep 8, 2015 World Championship
Maldives vs China
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Ziming
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Maldives Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China 76 / 100
Maldives 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China Maldives

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Maldives has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

China went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maldives's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

China VS Maldives
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

China

(Home)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
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Maldives

(Away)
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Maldives
2 : 1
Timor-Leste
18 Nov
Maldives
0 : 2
Philippines
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