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China vs Syria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
Thu, Jan 14, 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. China have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Syria's 1.71 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, China have won 2 to Syria's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2023, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.44, favoring Syria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
China
20%
Draws
40%
Syria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Syria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Syria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
China Clean Sheet 16%
Syria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China Syria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2023 Friendly International
China vs Syria
0:1
Jun 15, 2021 World Championship
China vs Syria
3:1
Nov 14, 2019 World Championship
Syria vs China
2:1
Oct 16, 2018 Friendly International
China vs Syria
2:0
Jun 13, 2017 World Championship
Syria vs China
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China 36 / 100
Syria 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China Syria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Syria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

China's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Syria has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

China VS Syria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

China

(Home)
06 Oct
China
0 : 1
Tajikistan
02 Oct
China
0 : 5
Palestine
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
China
3 : 0
Maldives
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
Page 1 of 6

Syria

(Away)
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1
Syria
27 Sept
Jordan
1 : 1
Syria
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams