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China W vs Hong Kong W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu
China W Logo

China W

5 - 1
FT
Hong Kong W Logo

Hong Kong W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Chen Qiaozhu
Assist: Wang Shuang
31' Event
Cheung W. K.
38' Event
Fu C.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

China W in this Asian Games Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored China W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
China W
15%
Draws
39%
Hong Kong W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to China W lately — more wins on the board than Hong Kong W.
  • Win probability leans China W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • China W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
China W Clean Sheet 20%
Hong Kong W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China W Hong Kong W
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Asian Games Women
China W vs Hong Kong W
5:1
Dec 3, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Hong Kong W vs China W
0:6
Aug 17, 2018 Asian Games Women
China W vs Hong Kong W
7:0
Jan 12, 2014 Friendly International Women
China W vs Hong Kong W
4:0
Nov 20, 2012 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
China W vs Hong Kong W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Shuang
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chen Qiaozhu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hong Kong W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheung W. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China W 85 / 100
Hong Kong W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China W Hong Kong W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: China W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: China W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

China W VS Hong Kong W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China W

(Home)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
Page 1 of 6

Hong Kong W

(Away)
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Hong Kong W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2
Fiji W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams