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Chinato vs Merida UD Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 game between Chinato and Merida UD finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merida UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chinato
30%
Draws
47%
Merida UD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Merida UD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Merida UD taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chinato Clean Sheet 16%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinato Merida UD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 22
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 0.97 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Chinato vs Merida UD
0:1
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Chinato
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinato 10 / 100
Merida UD 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinato Merida UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merida UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chinato found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Merida UD conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chinato stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chinato VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinato

(Home)
20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0
Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2
Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1
Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0
Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0
RCP Valverdeno
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Merida UD

(Away)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arroyo 38 30 5 3 100:22 95
2 Diter Zafra 38 25 6 7 63:38 81
3 Extremadura UD 38 23 9 6 75:23 78
4 Don Benito 38 23 9 6 63:29 78
5 Jerez CF 38 20 9 9 56:34 69
6 Miajadas 38 15 11 12 52:52 56
7 UD Badajoz 38 14 11 13 53:49 53
8 Merida UD 38 14 11 13 42:43 53
9 CD Coria 38 13 11 14 49:55 50
10 UP Plasencia 38 12 9 17 41:62 45
11 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 10 15 13 45:46 45
12 Valdelacalzada 38 10 15 13 31:42 45
13 Santa Amalia 38 11 11 16 53:67 44
14 Hernan Cortes 38 10 12 16 28:39 42
15 Pueblonuevo 38 11 8 19 59:83 41
16 Moralo 38 10 10 18 32:43 40
17 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 10 9 19 60:67 39
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 9 20 45:77 36
19 SP Villafranca 38 6 11 21 45:74 29
20 Chinato 38 3 11 24 27:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)