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Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Eugen Popescu, Targoviste
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chindia Targoviste host CSM Satu Mare in the Liga 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Chindia Targoviste at 1.5 goals for, 1.68 against; CSM Satu Mare at 1.07 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Chindia Targoviste slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2025, ending 2:4. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.81) point toward Chindia Targoviste. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Chindia Targoviste
30%
Draws
14%
CSM Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chindia Targoviste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chindia Targoviste lately — more wins on the board than CSM Satu Mare.
  • Chindia Targoviste are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chindia Targoviste Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chindia Targoviste CSM Satu Mare
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Chindia Targoviste
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chindia Targoviste 85 / 100
CSM Satu Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chindia Targoviste CSM Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chindia Targoviste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chindia Targoviste's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CSM Satu Mare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Chindia Targoviste has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chindia Targoviste VS CSM Satu Mare
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chindia Targoviste

(Home)
10 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
3 : 2
Concordia
03 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
1 : 0
Petrolul
19 Sept
Unirea Slobozia
0 : 1
Chindia Targoviste
13 Sept
Chindia Targoviste
4 : 0
Selimbar
04 Sept
CSM Slatina
3 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
Page 1 of 6

CSM Satu Mare

(Away)
17 Oct
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
Metalul Buzau
10 Oct
CS Din. Bucuresti
2 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
01 Oct
CFR Cluj
2 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 10 8 1 1 19:8 25
2 Politehnica Timisoara 10 7 3 0 20:8 24
3 Popesti Leordeni 10 6 3 1 24:14 21
4 CSM Resita 10 7 0 3 16:11 21
5 FC Bacau 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
6 Chindia Targoviste 9 6 0 3 20:10 18
7 Concordia 10 6 0 4 24:16 18
8 Cetatea Suceava 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
9 Metalul Buzau 10 5 3 2 10:7 18
10 Afumati 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
11 FC Bihor 10 4 3 3 16:10 15
12 Gloria Bistrita 10 5 0 5 13:13 15
13 Metaloglobus Bucharest 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
14 FC ASA Tg. Mures 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
15 Ramnicu Valcea 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
16 Unirea Slobozia 10 2 1 7 12:13 7
17 Steaua Bucuresti 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
18 CS Din. Bucuresti 10 2 1 7 15:30 7
19 CSM Satu Mare 10 0 6 4 5:12 6
20 Selimbar 10 1 3 6 7:20 6
21 Stefanesti 10 2 0 8 7:23 6
22 CSC Dumbravita 10 0 3 7 6:21 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)