Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Eugen Popescu

Steaua Bucuresti

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chindia Targoviste play Steaua Bucuresti in the Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chindia Targoviste averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Steaua Bucuresti averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Chindia Targoviste won 2, Steaua Bucuresti won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Chindia Targoviste and 1.69 for Steaua Bucuresti. This points to a Steaua Bucuresti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Chindia Targoviste

16%

Draws

44%

Steaua Bucuresti

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Steaua Bucuresti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Chindia Targoviste picked up more points recently compared to Steaua Bucuresti.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Chindia Targoviste Clean Sheet 13%

Steaua Bucuresti Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chindia Targoviste	Steaua Bucuresti
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	12
Draws	3	5
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.61	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.54	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga 2

Chindia Targoviste vs Steaua Bucuresti

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Apr 2, 2026 Liga 2

Steaua Bucuresti vs Chindia Targoviste

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly

Steaua Bucuresti vs Chindia Targoviste

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sep 23, 2025 Liga 2

Chindia Targoviste vs Steaua Bucuresti

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly

Chindia Targoviste vs Steaua Bucuresti

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chindia Targoviste Compare

Top Goalscorer Popadiuc D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Steaua Bucuresti Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacionel S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chindia Targoviste 39 / 100

Steaua Bucuresti 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chindia Targoviste Steaua Bucuresti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Steaua Bucuresti or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chindia Targoviste attacking → ← attacking Steaua Bucuresti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chindia Targoviste scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Steaua Bucuresti let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Chindia Targoviste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Steaua Bucuresti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 41

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corvinul Hunedoara	10	5	1	4	13:8	69
2	Sepsi	10	6	2	2	15:8	64
3	Voluntari	10	8	1	1	21:8	64
4	FC Bihor	10	3	2	5	16:21	50
5	Steaua Bucuresti	10	3	1	6	13:19	49
6	Chindia Targoviste	10	1	1	8	7:21	43