Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U16 2012

Japan U16

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chinese Taipei U16 play Japan U16 in the AFC Championship U16 2012. Japan U16 are favorites here. Recently, Chinese Taipei U16 averaged 0.89 goals scored and 3.68 conceded. Japan U16 averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Chinese Taipei U16 won 0, Japan U16 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 12, 2011 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Chinese Taipei U16 and 1.18 for Japan U16. This points to a Japan U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Chinese Taipei U16

15%

Draws

63%

Japan U16

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Chinese Taipei U16 picked up more points recently compared to Japan U16.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Chinese Taipei U16 Clean Sheet 20%

Japan U16 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chinese Taipei U16	Japan U16
Matches Played	19	43
Wins	5	25
Draws	0	3
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.89	2.67
Goals Conceded	3.68	1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2011 AFC Championship U16

Chinese Taipei U16 vs Japan U16

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei U16 24 / 100

Japan U16 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chinese Taipei U16 Japan U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Japan U16 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chinese Taipei U16 attacking → ← attacking Japan U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chinese Taipei U16 scored in 42% of their last 19 games.

Japan U16 let in goals in 63% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chinese Taipei U16 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Japan U16 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 78

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U16	4	3	1	0	17:2	10
2	Iran U16	4	3	1	0	12:1	10
3	Qatar U16	4	2	0	2	9:6	6
4	Palestine U16	4	1	0	3	2:15	3
5	Bangladesh U16	4	0	0	4	0:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yemen U16	5	4	1	0	15:2	13
2	Kuwait U16	5	4	0	1	14:3	12
3	United Arab Emirates U16	5	2	2	1	11:5	8
4	Pakistan U16	5	2	0	3	7:9	6
5	Afghanistan U16	5	1	1	3	11:10	4
6	Maldives U16	5	0	0	5	0:29	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U16	4	4	0	0	20:1	12
2	India U16	4	3	0	1	13:11	9
3	Bahrain U16	4	1	1	2	7:7	4
4	Tajikistan U16	4	1	1	2	6:8	4
5	Kyrgyzstan U16	4	0	0	4	1:20	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oman U16	3	2	0	1	4:4	6
2	Syria U16	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
3	Saudi Arabia U16	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
4	Nepal U16	3	0	1	2	1:5	1
5	Lebanon U16	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U16	4	4	0	0	16:2	12
2	China U16	4	3	0	1	8:3	9
3	Singapore U16	4	1	1	2	10:6	4
4	Malaysia U16	4	1	1	2	5:7	4
5	Timor-Leste U16	4	0	0	4	3:24	0
6	Macau U16	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U16	5	4	0	1	21:6	12
2	South Korea U16	5	3	2	0	23:3	11
3	Laos U16	5	3	1	1	13:6	10
4	Vietnam U16	5	2	1	2	12:9	7
5	Cambodia U16	5	1	0	4	2:25	3
6	Chinese Taipei U16	5	0	0	5	1:23	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Thailand U16	5	5	0	28:6	15
2	Australia U16	5	4	1	22:5	12
3	Indonesia U16	5	3	2	26:10	9
4	Myanmar U16	5	2	3	13:14	6
5	Hong Kong U16	5	1	4	8:14	3
6	Guam U16	5	0	5	1:49	0