Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chinese Taipei U23 vs Hong Kong U23

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong U23 in this AFC Championship U23 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hong Kong U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chinese Taipei U23
39%
Draws
30%
Hong Kong U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hong Kong U23 have won more games recently than Chinese Taipei U23.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hong Kong U23 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Chinese Taipei U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinese Taipei U23 Hong Kong U23
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.67 0.38
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2018 Asian Games
Hong Kong U23 vs Chinese Taipei U23
4:0
Jul 23, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Chinese Taipei U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:4
Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Chinese Taipei U23 vs Hong Kong U23
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinese Taipei U23 30 / 100
Hong Kong U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinese Taipei U23 Hong Kong U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hong Kong U23 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Hong Kong U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Chinese Taipei U23 scored in 33% of their last 24 games.

Scoring Trends

Chinese Taipei U23 VS Hong Kong U23
0.67 Goals Scored 0.38
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 25%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinese Taipei U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
1 : 3
Bhutan U23
06 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
0 : 6
Jordan U23
03 Sept
Turkmenistan U23
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei U23
24 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 1
Chinese Taipei U23
21 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 5

Hong Kong U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0
Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2
United Arab Emirates U23
03 Sept
Iran U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
04 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
Hong Kong U23
07 Oct
Uzbekistan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oman U2322007:16
2Iran U2321012:33
3Kyrgyzstan U2320022:70
4Sri Lanka U2300000:00
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U23330012:19
2Saudi Arabia U23320111:36
3Bahrain U2331024:53
4Afghanistan U2330030:180
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U2332104:17
2Syria U2331203:15
3India U2331023:43
4Turkmenistan U2330121:51
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U2333007:19
2United Arab Emirates U2332016:26
3Lebanon U2331023:43
4Nepal U2330030:90
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palestine U2332108:47
2Jordan U23320111:36
3Tajikistan U2331115:54
4Bangladesh U2330031:130
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U23330012:09
2Myanmar U2332015:36
3Singapore U2331024:103
4Brunei U2330031:90
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U23321014:27
2Hong Kong U2331206:25
3Laos U2331114:84
4Chinese Taipei U2330032:140
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malaysia U2332015:36
2Thailand U2331204:15
3Indonesia U2331117:34
4Mongolia U2330121:101
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U23321012:17
2Vietnam U23320113:36
3Timor-Leste U2331117:54
4Macau U2330032:250
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U2332104:17
2Japan U23320111:26
3Cambodia U2331111:24
4Philippines U2330030:110
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams