Sport Picks

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Chingale de Tete vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Cantolo A.
53' Event
Gabriel W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chingale de Tete
20%
Draws
38%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chingale de Tete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baia de Pemba lately — more wins on the board than Chingale de Tete.
  • Chingale de Tete are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 3 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Baia de Pemba
1:1
Jun 30, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Chingale de Tete
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chingale de Tete Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantolo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Baia de Pemba Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 42 / 100
Baia de Pemba 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Baia de Pemba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Chingale de Tete has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chingale de Tete scored in 40% of their last 25 outings.

Baia de Pemba has conceded goals in 58% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Baia de Pemba
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010