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Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nampula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chingale de Tete host Ferroviario Nampula in the Mocambola. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Ferroviario Nampula have shipped 1.15 goals a game lately, while Chingale de Tete have conceded 0.96 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Chingale de Tete have won 1 to Ferroviario Nampula's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.00) back Ferroviario Nampula to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chingale de Tete
15%
Draws
51%
Ferroviario Nampula
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chingale de Tete haven't matched Ferroviario Nampula's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chingale de Tete's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Nampula
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Chingale de Tete
2:0
Nov 25, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nampula
4:2
Sep 9, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Chingale de Tete
2:1
Aug 27, 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Chingale de Tete
2:0
May 17, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 36 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Nampula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Chingale de Tete found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (26 games).

Ferroviario Nampula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Chingale de Tete has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS Ferroviario Nampula
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
13 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 2
Chingale de Tete
09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario Nampula

(Away)
18 Oct
UD Songo
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Sofala
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 22 10 7 5 25:17 37
4 UD Songo 22 8 10 4 23:16 34
5 Ferroviario Nampula 20 10 4 6 23:22 34
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 20 9 5 6 18:15 32
7 Ferroviario Maputo 21 8 5 8 15:13 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 ENH Vilankulo 20 5 9 6 23:19 24
10 Baia de Pemba 20 5 7 8 11:16 22
11 AD Pemba 20 6 3 11 10:20 21
12 Sofala 22 4 7 11 10:24 19
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 21 1 8 12 8:26 11
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