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Chingale de Tete vs UD Songo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Sun, Dec 28, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chingale de Tete host UD Songo in the Mocambola 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Chingale de Tete at 0.54 goals for, 1 against; UD Songo at 1.45 for, 0.83 against. Head-to-head, Chingale de Tete have won 0 to UD Songo's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.51 xG vs 0.75) point toward UD Songo. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Chingale de Tete
30%
Draws
58%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Songo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UD Songo have won more games recently than Chingale de Tete.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Songo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 20%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chingale de Tete UD Songo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.54 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs UD Songo
0:1
Dec 28, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs UD Songo
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Chingale de Tete
5:2
Jul 9, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs UD Songo
2:3
Apr 9, 2017 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Chingale de Tete
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 32 / 100
UD Songo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chingale de Tete UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Chingale de Tete found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).

UD Songo has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Chingale de Tete remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chingale de Tete VS UD Songo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
Page 1 of 6

UD Songo

(Away)
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Songo 22 18 3 1 50:13 57
2 Associacao Black Bulls 23 11 6 6 35:26 39
3 Ferroviario Beira 23 10 7 6 19:13 37
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 22 9 7 6 38:31 34
5 Ferroviario Maputo 23 7 12 4 25:18 33
6 Baia de Pemba 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
7 ENH Vilankulo 24 7 10 7 22:21 31
8 Costa do Sol 23 7 10 6 18:18 31
9 Ferroviario Nacala 23 8 7 8 16:17 31
10 Chingale de Tete 22 6 9 7 22:21 27
11 Ferroviario Nampula 22 6 8 8 21:29 26
12 Textafrica 23 4 8 11 15:30 20
13 Desportivo de Nacala 20 2 6 12 13:31 12
14 Desportivo Matola 22 2 4 16 11:40 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)