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Chinland vs Ayeyawady - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Mon, Nov 23, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chinland host Ayeyawady in the National League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Chinland at 1.21 goals for, 2.86 against; Ayeyawady at 1.13 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Chinland have won 0 to Ayeyawady's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2023, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.44) point toward Ayeyawady. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chinland
15%
Draws
51%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chinland haven't matched Ayeyawady's recent run of results.
  • Chinland are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ayeyawady have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chinland Clean Sheet 16%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinland Ayeyawady
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2023 National League
Chinland vs Ayeyawady
1:1
May 31, 2023 National League
Ayeyawady vs Chinland
4:1
Oct 24, 2022 National League
Ayeyawady vs Chinland
5:3
Jul 30, 2022 National League
Chinland vs Ayeyawady
2:4
Jul 7, 2019 National League
Ayeyawady vs Chinland
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinland 41 / 100
Ayeyawady 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinland Ayeyawady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Chinland scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ayeyawady's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Ayeyawady lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chinland VS Ayeyawady
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinland

(Home)
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
21 May
Glory Goal
1 : 2
Chinland
17 May
Chinland
1 : 4
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 6

Ayeyawady

(Away)
10 Oct
Ayeyawady
1 : 3
Thitsar Arman
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ispe 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
9 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)