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Chions vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Petdji T.
13' Event
Gnago Y. G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Chions and Adriese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adriese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chions
15%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chions haven't matched Adriese's recent run of results.
  • Chions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Chions Clean Sheet 68%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chions Adriese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.9 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Adriese
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Chions
3:0
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Adriese
3:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Chions
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Chions
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Petdji T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gnago Y. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 95 / 100
Adriese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chions Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chions's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adriese let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adriese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chions

(Home)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)