Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025

Chions

1 - 1

Luparense FC

Our Tip

Match Events

70'

Valenta E.

80'

Andolfatto S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Chions and Luparense FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Chions

20%

Draws

38%

Luparense FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Luparense FC come out ahead of Chions on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Chions taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Chions Clean Sheet 20%

Luparense FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chions	Luparense FC
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	5	10
Draws	10	14
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Chions vs Luparense FC

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Chions

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Chions

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Chions vs Luparense FC

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D

Luparense FC vs Chions

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenta E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andolfatto S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 42 / 100

Luparense FC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chions Luparense FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Luparense FC conceded in 78% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chions remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Luparense FC

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dolomiti Bellunesi	38	23	9	6	65:39	78
2	Treviso	38	22	8	8	59:32	74
3	Villa Valle	38	19	10	9	62:44	67
4	Adriese	38	18	12	8	55:31	66
5	Mestre	38	19	7	12	40:34	64
6	Campodarsego	38	15	17	6	52:36	62
7	Brusaporto	38	16	12	10	46:37	60
8	Luparense FC	38	13	17	8	48:36	56
9	Real Calepina	38	15	10	13	44:44	55
10	Cjarlins Muzane	38	15	10	13	50:49	55
11	Este	38	14	12	12	50:50	54
12	Brian Lignano	38	12	12	14	45:49	48
13	Calvi Noale	38	12	11	15	44:44	47
14	Bassano Virtus	38	11	14	13	43:36	47
15	Portogruaro	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
16	Caravaggio	38	11	8	19	42:54	41
17	Ciserano-Bergamo	38	9	13	16	42:55	40
18	Chions	38	6	12	20	35:59	30
19	Montecchio Maggiore	38	6	9	23	32:55	27
20	Lavis	38	3	3	32	25:91	12