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Chions vs Montebelluna Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Biral N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Chions and Montebelluna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chions
20%
Draws
40%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Montebelluna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chions a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Chions Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chions Montebelluna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Montebelluna
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Chions
1:1
Mar 7, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Chions
2:0
Oct 28, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Montebelluna
0:2
Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Montebelluna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Biral N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 50 / 100
Montebelluna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chions Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Montebelluna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Montebelluna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chions VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chions

(Home)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)