Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chions vs Montecchio Maggiore

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Moreo R.

AI Match Summary

Chions in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chions
20%
Draws
16%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chions have won more games recently than Montecchio Maggiore.
  • Win probability leans Chions's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chions Clean Sheet 20%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chions Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Chions
0:2
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Chions
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Montecchio Maggiore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 76 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chions Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montecchio Maggiore conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Chions scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Montecchio Maggiore has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chions VS Montecchio Maggiore
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chions

(Home)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)