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Chions vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Djuric M.
74' Event
Aliu G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chions
30%
Draws
47%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treviso lately — more wins on the board than Chions.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Treviso here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chions Clean Sheet 20%
Treviso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chions Treviso
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Treviso
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Chions
2:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Chions
3:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Treviso
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Djuric M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chions 36 / 100
Treviso 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chions Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Chions scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Treviso conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chions stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Treviso
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chions

(Home)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
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Treviso

(Away)
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)