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Chirk AAA FC vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Chirk AAA FC play Caersws FC in the Cymru North 2023/2024. Caersws FC are favorites here. Recently, Chirk AAA FC averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Caersws FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Chirk AAA FC won 0, Caersws FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Chirk AAA FC and 1.55 for Caersws FC. This points to a Caersws FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chirk AAA FC
17%
Draws
70%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Caersws FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chirk AAA FC.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Caersws FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru North 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 15%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirk AAA FC Caersws FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Caersws FC
2:2
Oct 7, 2023 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Chirk AAA FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Middlehurst L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mclaughlin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Francis-Jones C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirk AAA FC 15 / 100
Caersws FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirk AAA FC Caersws FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chirk AAA FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Caersws FC let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Chirk AAA FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Caersws FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caersws FC
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Holywell Town FC30263179:1781
2Flint Town30253294:3078
3Airbus UK Broughton FC30235284:2874
4Mold Alexandra301811166:5055
5Bangor 1876301721162:5553
6Denbigh301541171:6049
7Ruthin Town301261258:5242
8Guilsfield301171248:4640
9Caersws FC301091160:5339
10Gresford301071347:5437
11Buckley301061454:6036
12Llandudno FC301011959:8031
13Prestatyn30751839:7423
14Porthmadog30642035:6622
15Chirk AAA FC30342332:8213
16Llanidloes Town30232525:1069