Sport Picks

Wales

League Cup 2023/2024

Denbigh

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chirk AAA FC play Denbigh in the League Cup 2023/2024. Denbigh are favorites here. Recently, Chirk AAA FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Denbigh averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Chirk AAA FC won 0, Denbigh won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2024 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Chirk AAA FC and 1.49 for Denbigh. This points to a Denbigh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Chirk AAA FC

15%

Draws

68%

Denbigh

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Chirk AAA FC picked up more points recently compared to Denbigh.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 16%

Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chirk AAA FC	Denbigh
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	4	16
Draws	4	4
Losses	22	15
Goals Scored	1.2	1.74
Goals Conceded	2.7	1.89

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2024 Cymru North

Denbigh vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

6:1

Aug 28, 2023 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Denbigh

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jul 21, 2023 League Cup

Chirk AAA FC vs Denbigh

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Oct 4, 2008 FA Cup

Denbigh vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackwell-Jones M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirk AAA FC 19 / 100

Denbigh 63 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chirk AAA FC Denbigh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)

Secondary Pick Denbigh & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chirk AAA FC attacking → ← attacking Denbigh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chirk AAA FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Denbigh let in goals in 91% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chirk AAA FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Denbigh lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 52

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00