Sport Picks
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru North 2023/2024 
Match Events
24'
24'
Edwards R.
53'
53'
Williams R.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru North 2023/2024 game between Chirk AAA FC and Porthmadog finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chirk AAA FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Porthmadog carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Porthmadog taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 14%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chirk AAA FC | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 22 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.7 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2024 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog
1:2
Aug 8, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA FC
4:1
Feb 18, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Chirk AAA FC
0:5
Aug 29, 2022 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Porthmadog
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chirk AAA FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Porthmadog Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chirk AAA FC 19 / 100
Porthmadog 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chirk AAA FC Porthmadog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porthmadog let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Chirk AAA FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Chirk AAA FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Porthmadog
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chirk AAA FC
(Home) 26 Apr
Buckley
3 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
29 Mar
Llanidloes Town
1 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2 Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2 Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2 Llandudno FC
02 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 4 Mold Alexandra
17 Feb
Chirk AAA FC
0 : 3 Prestatyn
Page 1 of 3
Porthmadog
(Away) 26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1 Porthmadog
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holywell Town FC | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 79:17 | 81 |
| 2 | Flint Town | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 94:30 | 78 |
| 3 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 84:28 | 74 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 66:50 | 55 |
| 5 | Bangor 1876 | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 62:55 | 53 |
| 6 | Denbigh | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 71:60 | 49 |
| 7 | Ruthin Town | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 58:52 | 42 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 48:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Caersws FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 60:53 | 39 |
| 10 | Gresford | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 47:54 | 37 |
| 11 | Buckley | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 54:60 | 36 |
| 12 | Llandudno FC | 30 | 10 | 1 | 19 | 59:80 | 31 |
| 13 | Prestatyn | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 39:74 | 23 |
| 14 | Porthmadog | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 35:66 | 22 |
| 15 | Chirk AAA FC | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 32:82 | 13 |
| 16 | Llanidloes Town | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 25:106 | 9 |
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