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Chirpan vs Rodopa Smolyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chirpan in this Third League - South-East 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chirpan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chirpan
20%
Draws
80%
Rodopa Smolyan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Rodopa Smolyan have won more games recently than Chirpan.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Rodopa Smolyan taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chirpan Clean Sheet 18%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirpan Rodopa Smolyan
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 5 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.53 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2011 Third League - South-East
Chirpan vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:1
Nov 21, 2010 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Chirpan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirpan 10 / 100
Rodopa Smolyan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirpan Rodopa Smolyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodopa Smolyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodopa Smolyan conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Chirpan scored in 34% of their last 32 games.

Away concern: Rodopa Smolyan has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rodopa Smolyan
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirpan

(Home)
02 Jun
Chirpan
0 : 3
Rakovski 2011
27 May
Hebros
3 : 0
Chirpan
19 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Levski Karlovo
13 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
05 May
Sozopol
3 : 0
Chirpan
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Rodopa Smolyan

(Away)
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0
OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
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