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Chirpan vs Sozopol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sozopol in this Third League - South-East 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chirpan
15%
Draws
85%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sozopol have won more games recently than Chirpan.
  • Model gives Sozopol a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sozopol have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Chirpan Clean Sheet 20%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirpan Sozopol
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 5 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.53 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.56 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2012 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Chirpan
3:0
Nov 2, 2011 Third League - South-East
Chirpan vs Sozopol
0:1
Jun 5, 2011 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Chirpan
4:1
Nov 28, 2010 Third League - South-East
Chirpan vs Sozopol
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirpan 10 / 100
Sozopol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirpan Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Chirpan scored in 34% of their last 32 games.

Sozopol let in goals in 44% of their last 36 matches.

Difficult form: Sozopol registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sozopol
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirpan

(Home)
02 Jun
Chirpan
0 : 3
Rakovski 2011
27 May
Hebros
3 : 0
Chirpan
19 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Levski Karlovo
13 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
05 May
Sozopol
3 : 0
Chirpan
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Sozopol

(Away)
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4
Sozopol
15 Aug
Sozopol
0 : 2
Rodopa Smolyan
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3
Sozopol
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
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