Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chirpan vs Sportist Roza Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Chirpan Logo

Chirpan

0 - 1
FT
Sportist Roza Logo

Sportist Roza

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sportist Roza in this Third League - South-East 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportist Roza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chirpan
15%
Draws
85%
Sportist Roza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportist Roza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sportist Roza at 0.57 per game, Chirpan at 0.4.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Chirpan taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Chirpan Clean Sheet 10%
Sportist Roza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chirpan Sportist Roza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 3 5
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.4 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.73 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2012 Third League - South-East
Chirpan vs Sportist Roza
0:1
Oct 9, 2011 Third League - South-East
Sportist Roza vs Chirpan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chirpan 83 / 100
Sportist Roza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chirpan Sportist Roza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chirpan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportist Roza let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Sportist Roza has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chirpan found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chirpan VS Sportist Roza
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chirpan

(Home)
02 Jun
Chirpan
0 : 3
Rakovski 2011
27 May
Hebros
3 : 0
Chirpan
19 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Levski Karlovo
13 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
05 May
Sozopol
3 : 0
Chirpan
Page 1 of 6

Sportist Roza

(Away)
01 Jun
Sportist Roza
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
27 May
Sozopol
7 : 0
Sportist Roza
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
6 : 0
Sportist Roza
20 May
Sportist Roza
2 : 5
Asenovets
05 May
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Sportist Roza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)