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Chisola vs Casale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Haidara B.
87' Event
Rizq K.
90' Event
Petracca A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chisola
35%
Draws
19%
Casale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chisola have won more games recently than Casale.
  • Win probability leans Chisola's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chisola Clean Sheet 20%
Casale Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Casale
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.26 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Casale
2:1
Jan 11, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Chisola
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidara B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rizq K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 58 / 100
Casale 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Casale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Chisola scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Chisola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
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Casale

(Away)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)