Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chisola vs Castanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Zeni P.
64' Event
Rizq K.
82' Event
N'Diyae L.

AI Match Summary

Chisola in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chisola
30%
Draws
23%
Castanese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chisola have won more games recently than Castanese.
  • Chisola are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chisola Clean Sheet 20%
Castanese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chisola Castanese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Castanese
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Castanese vs Chisola
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeni P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rizq K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Castanese Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Diyae L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chisola 36 / 100
Castanese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chisola Castanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castanese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Chisola's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Castanese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chisola VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chisola

(Home)
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

Castanese

(Away)
14 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Castanese
07 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Castanese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Castanese
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)