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Chittagong Abahani Limited vs Fakirerpool YMC Prediction & H2H Stats

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Premier League 2024/2025 Munshiganj Stadium, Munshigonj
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Match Events

45'
Sub
Atikuzzaman M. In: Kwasi D.
Out: Atikuzzaman M.
46'
Sub
Hossain I. In: Tudu R.
Out: Hossain I.
46'
Sub
Ahmed F. In: Khan M.
Out: Ahmed F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Chittagong Abahani Limited and Fakirerpool YMC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fakirerpool YMC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chittagong Abahani Limited
15%
Draws
85%
Fakirerpool YMC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fakirerpool YMC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fakirerpool YMC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fakirerpool YMC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fakirerpool YMC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chittagong Abahani Limited Clean Sheet 20%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chittagong Abahani Limited Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Chittagong Abahani Limited
3:2
Jan 7, 2025 Federation Cup
Chittagong Abahani Limited vs Fakirerpool YMC
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 BFL
Chittagong Abahani Limited vs Fakirerpool YMC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chittagong Abahani Limited Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hossain Sayem S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakhonov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chittagong Abahani Limited 24 / 100
Fakirerpool YMC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chittagong Abahani Limited Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fakirerpool YMC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fakirerpool YMC conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Fakirerpool YMC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chittagong Abahani Limited scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fakirerpool YMC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chittagong Abahani Limited

(Home)
29 May
Chittagong Abahani Limited
0 : 4
Fortis
24 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 1
Chittagong Abahani Limited
21 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
5 : 0
Chittagong Abahani Limited
16 May
Mohammedan
4 : 1
Chittagong Abahani Limited
09 May
Chittagong Abahani Limited
1 : 2
Dhaka Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Fakirerpool YMC

(Away)
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohammedan 18 13 3 2 46:16 42
2 Abahani Limited Dhaka 18 10 5 3 31:8 35
3 Bashundara Kings 18 9 5 4 45:15 32
4 Rahmatgonj MFS 18 9 3 6 39:25 30
5 Brothers U. 18 7 6 5 28:18 27
6 Fortis 18 6 9 3 24:15 27
7 Bangladesh Police 18 8 3 7 24:25 27
8 Fakirerpool YMC 18 6 1 11 23:54 19
9 Dhaka Wanderers 18 3 1 14 14:55 10
10 Chittagong Abahani Limited 18 1 0 17 7:50 3
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