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Chivas Patriots vs NTX Rayados

USA USA

US Open Cup 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
61' Event
84' Event

AI Match Summary

Chivas Patriots in this US Open Cup 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chivas Patriots.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chivas Patriots
6%
Draws
4%
NTX Rayados
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chivas Patriots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NTX Rayados lately — more wins on the board than Chivas Patriots.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chivas Patriots taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal US Open Cup 2012 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chivas Patriots Clean Sheet 20%
NTX Rayados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chivas Patriots NTX Rayados
Matches Played 3 13
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2012 US Open Cup
Chivas Patriots vs NTX Rayados
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chivas Patriots 85 / 100
NTX Rayados 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chivas Patriots NTX Rayados

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NTX Rayados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: NTX Rayados registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chivas Patriots found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (3 games).

Scoring Trends

Chivas Patriots VS NTX Rayados
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KC Athletics3
Real Colorado1
TBD-
Orlando City-
Tampa Bay-
TBD-
Orlando City1
Jacksonville United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
Michigan Bucks6
Jersey Shore0
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
Columbus Crew-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Premier1
Croatian Eagles0
TBD-
Dayton-
Penn Football Club-
TBD-
LVU Rush0
Long Island2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New England Revolution-
Charleston-
TBD-
Greek American1
Reading2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York Red Bulls-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aegean Hawks3
North Carolina Fusion U231
TBD-
Richmond Kickers-
Rochester New York-
TBD-
Portland Phoenix2
Brooklyn Italians3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Chivas USA-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orange County SC-
TBD-
Fullerton2
Ventura6
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
PSA Elite3
Portland (Capital) U231
TBD-
North Carolina FC-
San Antonio Scorpions-
TBD-
New Stars2
Laredo Heat4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Houston Dynamo-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chivas Patriots3
NTX Rayados1
TBD-
Charlotte Eagles-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fuego2
Stanislaus0
TBD-
Fort Lauderdale Strikers-
Real Salt Lake-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Menace3
Bavarian United SC1
TBD-
Minnesota United-
Cal3
Kitsap Pumas1
TBD-
Wilmington Hammerheads-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Atlanta SC-
TBD-
Mississippi Brilla0
Georgia Revolution1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seattle Sounders-
1/32-finals
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
KC Athletics0
Orlando City7
Tampa Bay3
Jacksonville United0
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
Michigan Bucks1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
Columbus Crew-
TBD-
Chicago Premier1
Dayton2
Penn Football Club2
Long Island0
TBD-
New England Revolution-
Charleston2
Reading1
TBD-
New York Red Bulls-
DC United-
TBD-
Aegean Hawks0
Richmond Kickers4
Rochester New York3
Brooklyn Italians0
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Chivas USA-
TBD-
Orange County SC1
Ventura3
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
PSA Elite0
North Carolina FC6
San Antonio Scorpions2
Laredo Heat0
TBD-
Houston Dynamo-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
Chivas Patriots0
Charlotte Eagles1
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
Fuego2
Fort Lauderdale Strikers7
Real Salt Lake-
TBD-
Menace0
Minnesota United2
Cal4
Wilmington Hammerheads0
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Atlanta SC1
Georgia Revolution0
TBD-
Seattle Sounders-
1/16-finals
Sporting Kansas City3
Orlando City2
Tampa Bay1
Colorado Rapids3
Michigan Bucks3
Chicago Fire2
Columbus Crew1
Dayton2
Penn Football Club4
New England Revolution3
Charleston0
New York Red Bulls3
DC United2
Richmond Kickers1
Rochester New York0
Philadelphia Union3
Chivas USA1
Ventura0
Los Angeles Galaxy1
North Carolina FC2
San Antonio Scorpions1
Houston Dynamo0
FC Dallas0
Charlotte Eagles2
San Jose Earthquakes2
Fort Lauderdale Strikers1
Real Salt Lake1
Minnesota United3
Cal1
Portland Timbers0
Atlanta SC1
Seattle Sounders5
1/8-finals
Sporting Kansas City2
Colorado Rapids0
Michigan Bucks1
Dayton2
Penn Football Club3
New York Red Bulls1
DC United1
Philadelphia Union2
Chivas USA2
North Carolina FC1
San Antonio Scorpions1
Charlotte Eagles2
San Jose Earthquakes1
Minnesota United0
Cal0
Seattle Sounders5
Quarter-finals
Sporting Kansas City3
Dayton0
Penn Football Club2
Philadelphia Union5
Chivas USA2
Charlotte Eagles1
San Jose Earthquakes0
Seattle Sounders1
Semi-finals
Sporting Kansas City2
Philadelphia Union0
Chivas USA1
Seattle Sounders4
Final
Sporting Kansas City2
Seattle Sounders1