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Choisy Au Bac vs Caen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de France. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Choisy Au Bac have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Caen's 2.03 scored and 1.19 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.93, favoring Caen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Choisy Au Bac
15%
Draws
53%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caen come out ahead of Choisy Au Bac on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Caen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Choisy Au Bac Clean Sheet 10%
Caen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Choisy Au Bac Caen
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 2 16
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 0.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Choisy Au Bac 30 / 100
Caen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Choisy Au Bac Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Choisy Au Bac scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Caen let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Choisy Au Bac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Caen registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Choisy Au Bac VS Caen
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Choisy Au Bac

(Home)
19 Nov
Douvres
2 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
12 Nov
Quarouble
0 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0
Choisy Au Bac
20 Nov
Choisy Au Bac
1 : 0
La Ferte-bernard

Caen

(Away)
07 Nov
Caen
1 : 0
Versailles
31 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
2 : 2
Caen
15 Oct
Caen
2 : 1
La Roche Vendee
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pontivy -
TA Rennes -
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Rouen -
St. Renan -
Laval -
Lannion FC -
Guingamp -
Vitre -
Saint-Pierre Milizac -
Stade Pontivyen -
Plabennec -
Tinteniac -
Concarneau -
Perros-Louannec -
Vannes -
Metz ESAP -
Reipertswiller -
Amneville -
Sundhoffen -
Koetzingue -
Biesheim -
Besancon RC -
APM Metz -
Talange -
Baume Dames -
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen -
Oberlauterbach -
SR Saint-Die Kellermann -
Metz -
CA Boulay -
Sochaux -
Montigny -
Pontarlier -
Vesoul -
Fleury 91 -
US Vandoeuvre -
Epinal -
OM Cambrai Amerique -
Amiens SC -
IC Croix -
Thaon -
Violaines -
US Vermelles -
Chauny -
USLPV -
La Neuvillette -
Valenciennes -
Tourcoing -
Reims -
OCPAM -
Olympique Marcquois -
Bethune -
Nancy -
Neslois -
Furiani Agliani -
St Ouen -
Boulogne -
AS Verson -
RC Calais -
Sottevillais -
Fecamp -
Dunkerque -
Quevilly -
ASPTT Caen -
Chambly -
Le Touquet -
Avranches -
SML Tatinghem -
Racing Club de France -
US Montreuil-sur-Mer -
Loon Plage -
Saint-Omer -
AF Virois -
Choisy Au Bac -
Caen -
Val Yerres Crosne A.F. -
Cosne US -
Sedan -
Bourges 18 -
Paris 13 Atletico -
Red Star -
Tremblay FC -
Maisons Alfort -
Dijon -
Orleans -
Massay -
Montlouis -
Chatou -
Les Ulis -
Contres -
Linas-Montlhery -
USM Senlis -
Saint-Pryve -
ASPTT Dijon -
Selongey -
Chambery -
Grenoble -
Seyssinet -
Nimes -
Claira/Laurent -
AS Puissalicon -
Grau-du-Roi -
Riviera -
FC Balagne -
Montpellier -
Avenir Lozere -
Entente Crest-Aouste -
Atlas Paillade -
Cannes -
Le Puy-en-Velay -
Diables Noirs -
Rhone-Crussol Foot 07 -
Frejus Saint Raphael -
Marseille Endoume -
Toulon -
Versailles -
Rodez -
FC 2 Rives 82 -
Trelissac -
RC Chambery -
Niort -
Boulazac -
Genets -
Balma -
US Castanet -
Lourdes -
Pau -
SAG Cestas -
Bayonne -
Brive -
Angouleme CFC -
Rochefort -
Juventus Papus -
Stade Bordelais -
Mazeres -
Castelbourgeois -
Nantes -
Macaire -
FC Nueillaubiers -
Bressuire -
Challans -
St Sebastien -
La Baule -
Fontenay -
Clermont -
CPB Brequigny -
Montlucon -
Saint-Philbert -
La Roche Vendee -
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant -
Horizon Patho -
Le Poire Sur Vie -
Vertou -
ES Buxerolles -
Sable -
Rumilly Vallieres -
St Etienne -
Paray -
Villefranche -
Riom -
Limonest -
FC Chalon -
Hauts Lyonnais -
Lyon - La Duchere -
Feurs -
Firminy -
Annecy -
Veauche -
Saint Paul en Jarez -
FC Cournon d'Auvergne -
Chassieu Decines -
FC Pont De Cheruy -
Bourg Peronnas -
Tamponnaise -
Saint-Pauloise FC -
Franciscain 4
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Tefana -
Thionville -
Baie Mahault 0
Siroco les Abymes 1
Olympique de Cayenne 1
Etoile Matoury 3
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