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Chojniczanka vs Ol. Grudziadz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sabala V.
Assist: Janicki K.
6' Event
Janicki K.
Assist: Sabala V.
26'
Abramowicz D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Chojniczanka and Ol. Grudziadz finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chojniczanka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chojniczanka
30%
Draws
39%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Chojniczanka haven't matched Ol. Grudziadz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chojniczanka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Chojniczanka Clean Sheet 12%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chojniczanka Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2
Chojniczanka vs Ol. Grudziadz
3:1
May 3, 2026 Division 2
Chojniczanka vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs Chojniczanka
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Division 2
Chojniczanka vs Ol. Grudziadz
4:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Ol. Grudziadz vs Chojniczanka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chojniczanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabala V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janicki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zbiciak B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chojniczanka 83 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chojniczanka Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chojniczanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chojniczanka's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Ol. Grudziadz conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chojniczanka stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chojniczanka VS Ol. Grudziadz
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chojniczanka

(Home)
04 Oct
Leczna
3 : 1
Chojniczanka
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
12 Sept
Swit Szczecin
1 : 5
Chojniczanka
05 Sept
Chojniczanka
2 : 2
R. Rzeszow
29 Aug
Kleczew
1 : 1
Chojniczanka
Page 1 of 6

Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Leczna 10 6 2 2 21:10 20
3 Tychy 10 5 5 0 14:6 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 10 5 2 3 20:18 17
5 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
6 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 10 5 1 4 15:11 16
7 Zielona Gora 10 4 3 3 20:16 15
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Sandecja Nowy S. 10 4 3 3 14:11 15
10 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
11 Chojniczanka 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
12 Avia Swidnik 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 16:21 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)