Sport Picks

Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930

Match Events

17'

Sub

Araujo Guilherme J. L. In: Diallo B.

Out: Araujo Guilherme J. L.

20'

Kozina M.

23'

Niedbala J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chojniczanka host Stal Stalowa Wola in the Division 2 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Chojniczanka at 2 goals for, 1.63 against; Stal Stalowa Wola at 1.38 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Stal Stalowa Wola slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.50, favoring Chojniczanka. Chojniczanka in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chojniczanka

40%

Draws

29%

Stal Stalowa Wola

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Chojniczanka has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Stal Stalowa Wola.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Chojniczanka Clean Sheet 16%

Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chojniczanka	Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	17	6
Draws	5	15
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	2	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 2

Chojniczanka vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Oct 5, 2025 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

May 29, 2024 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Mar 3, 2024 Division 2

Chojniczanka vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Aug 19, 2023 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chojniczanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozina M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sabala V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Niedbala J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kendzia J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chojniczanka 31 / 100

Stal Stalowa Wola 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chojniczanka Stal Stalowa Wola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chojniczanka scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Stal Stalowa Wola let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Chojniczanka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Stal Stalowa Wola lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chojniczanka VS Stal Stalowa Wola

2 Goals Scored 1.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5

100% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	21	5	8	69:45	68
2	Warta Poznan	34	17	13	4	57:37	64
3	Ol. Grudziadz	34	18	10	6	69:42	64
4	Podbeskidzie	34	17	7	10	64:43	58
5	Slask Wroclaw II	34	16	7	11	65:49	55
6	Sandecja Nowy S.	34	14	13	7	54:40	55
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	14	7	46:35	53
8	Chojniczanka	34	14	10	10	58:47	52
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	34	12	10	12	45:48	46
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	10	16	8	56:43	46
11	Hutnik Krakow	34	12	10	12	47:40	46
12	Swit Szczecin	34	12	8	14	51:59	44
13	R. Rzeszow	34	10	12	12	48:47	42
14	Kleczew	34	10	7	17	47:62	37
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	34	9	7	18	37:61	34
16	KKS Kalisz	34	8	10	16	37:55	34
17	LKS Lodz II	34	5	10	19	33:64	25
18	GKS Jastrzebie	34	0	7	27	18:84	6