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Chojniczanka vs Stal Stalowa Wola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mosek F.
46'
Nongo G.
54'
Chrzanowski A.

AI Match Summary

Chojniczanka in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chojniczanka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chojniczanka
30%
Draws
33%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chojniczanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chojniczanka have won more games recently than Stal Stalowa Wola.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Chojniczanka taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chojniczanka Clean Sheet 15%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chojniczanka Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Division 2
Chojniczanka vs Stal Stalowa Wola
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2
Chojniczanka vs Stal Stalowa Wola
3:3
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka
2:3
May 29, 2024 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Division 2
Chojniczanka vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chojniczanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosek F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabala V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chojniczanka 84 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chojniczanka Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chojniczanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chojniczanka scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Stal Stalowa Wola has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Chojniczanka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chojniczanka VS Stal Stalowa Wola
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chojniczanka

(Home)
09 Oct
Chojniczanka
2 : 2
Podhale Nowy Targ
04 Oct
Leczna
3 : 1
Chojniczanka
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
12 Sept
Swit Szczecin
1 : 5
Chojniczanka
05 Sept
Chojniczanka
2 : 2
R. Rzeszow
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Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
10 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 2
Slask Wroclaw II
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0
R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)