Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cholet vs Dijon

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen, Cholet
Cholet Logo

Cholet

2 - 1
FT
Dijon Logo

Dijon

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Schur K.
Assist: Moco Z.
25'
Marie J.
29'
Robinand J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cholet in this National 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cholet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cholet
35%
Draws
35%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Cholet.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cholet Clean Sheet 19%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet Dijon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Dijon
2:1
Sep 22, 2023 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Cholet
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Santini J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Schur K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 36 / 100
Dijon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cholet scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Dijon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cholet stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dijon
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cholet

(Home)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 6

Dijon

(Away)
21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Dijon
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)