Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cholet vs Orleans

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen, Cholet
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Quarshie J.
46'
Sub
Quarshie J. In: Cisse M.
Out: Quarshie J.
51'
Saint-Ruf N.

AI Match Summary

The National 2023/2024 game between Cholet and Orleans finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orleans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cholet
35%
Draws
19%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cholet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orleans come out ahead of Cholet on wins alone.
  • Cholet are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cholet Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet Orleans
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Cholet
1:2
Oct 11, 2023 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Orleans
0:1
Feb 17, 2023 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Cholet
2:0
Sep 9, 2022 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Orleans
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Cholet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cholet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Vula A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 86 / 100
Orleans 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cholet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cholet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Orleans conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cholet stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orleans
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cholet

(Home)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
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Orleans

(Away)
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)