Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cholet vs Villefranche

France France

National 2023/2024 Stade Pierre Blouen, Cholet
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Experience M.
62'
Sub
Louzif M. In: Blanc M.
Out: Louzif M.
62'
Sub
Ba I. In: Sidibe O.
Out: Ba I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cholet
30%
Draws
12%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cholet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villefranche lately — more wins on the board than Cholet.
  • Model gives Cholet a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cholet Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cholet Villefranche
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2024 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Villefranche
0:0
Aug 18, 2023 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Cholet
2:1
Apr 21, 2023 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Cholet
0:0
Dec 2, 2022 Ligue 3
Cholet vs Villefranche
0:0
Apr 1, 2022 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Cholet
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cholet 95 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cholet Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cholet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cholet found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Villefranche let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cholet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villefranche
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cholet

(Home)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Star 34 19 8 7 55:34 65
2 Martigues 34 17 8 9 44:29 59
3 Niort 34 17 7 10 58:42 58
4 Dijon 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
5 Le Mans 34 14 10 10 49:44 52
6 Nancy 34 14 9 11 51:46 50
7 Rouen 34 15 9 10 41:37 49
8 Sochaux 34 12 12 10 51:44 48
9 Versailles 34 12 11 11 41:33 47
10 Orleans 34 11 11 12 36:37 44
11 Nimes 34 11 11 12 36:43 44
12 Chateauroux 34 10 12 12 41:44 42
13 Villefranche 34 10 11 13 36:43 41
14 GOAL FC 34 10 8 16 43:47 38
15 Avranches 34 11 5 18 37:59 38
16 Marignane GCB 34 9 10 15 37:50 37
17 Epinal 34 9 6 19 39:51 33
18 Cholet 34 9 5 20 34:55 32
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)