Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chomutov vs Psary

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 Letni stadion na Zadnich Vinohradech, Chomutov
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 game between Chomutov and Psary finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Psary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chomutov
15%
Draws
26%
Psary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chomutov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chomutov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Chomutov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chomutov have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 10%
Psary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chomutov Psary
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Psary
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Psary
2:3
Sep 27, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Psary vs Chomutov
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chomutov 65 / 100
Psary 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chomutov Psary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chomutov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chomutov scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chomutov stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Psary has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chomutov VS Psary
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chomutov

(Home)
21 Aug
Chomutov
5 : 0
Usti nad Labem B
15 Aug
Sokolov
0 : 1
Chomutov
07 Aug
Chomutov
2 : 1
Psary
02 Aug
Karlovy Vary
2 : 1
Chomutov
25 Jul
Chomutov
1 : 2
Dukla Prague B
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Psary

(Away)
22 Aug
Steti
1 : 0
Psary
15 Aug
Psary
3 : 0
Meteor Prague
07 Aug
Chomutov
2 : 1
Psary
01 Aug
Psary
2 : 3
Motorlet Prague
13 Jun
Viktoria Marianske Lazne
1 : 1
Psary
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