Sport Picks
Chonburi vs Buriram United F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 1 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sontisawat S.
Own Goal
22'
22'
Sub
Darlan In: Henrique P.
Out: Darlan
23'
23'
Jorge Fellipe
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 game between Chonburi and Buriram United F.C. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buriram United F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Buriram United F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chonburi haven't matched Buriram United F.C.'s recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Buriram United F.C.'s way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 12%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chonburi | Buriram United F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 37 |
| Wins | 12 | 24 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.52 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Buriram United F.C.
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chonburi
5:0
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Buriram United F.C.
4:2
Mar 10, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Buriram United F.C.
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Chonburi
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chonburi 22 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chonburi Buriram United F.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Chonburi found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Buriram United F.C. conceded in 59% of 37 recent games.
Chonburi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chonburi VS Buriram United F.C.
0.4 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
20% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chonburi
(Home) 20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2 Chonburi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 3
Buriram United F.C.
(Away) 10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0 Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Ayutthaya United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasisalai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
