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Chonburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Win Hein Phyo In: Bangsungnoen R.
Out: Win Hein Phyo
32'
Linares K.
54'
Sub
Hanrattana P. In: Mungdee A.
Out: Hanrattana P.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chonburi and Nakhon Ratchasima FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chonburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chonburi
33%
Draws
27%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chonburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chonburi come out ahead of Nakhon Ratchasima FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chonburi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 19%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chonburi
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chonburi
2:1
Apr 29, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chonburi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Burapha Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorge Fellipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mungdee A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 40 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakhon Ratchasima FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Chonburi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chonburi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423