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Chonburi vs Pathum United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chonburi host Pathum United in the Thai League 1. This one's hard to separate. Chonburi have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Pathum United's 1.52 scored and 1.16 conceded. Head-to-head, Chonburi have won 2 to Pathum United's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.37 - 1.63) back Pathum United to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chonburi
20%
Draws
80%
Pathum United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pathum United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chonburi lately — more wins on the board than Pathum United.
  • Model gives Pathum United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 14%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Pathum United
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 13
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chonburi
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Pathum United
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chonburi
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 League Cup
Chonburi vs Pathum United
1:4
Dec 20, 2023 Thai FA Cup
Chonburi vs Pathum United
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 27 / 100
Pathum United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Pathum United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pathum United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Chonburi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Pathum United has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Pathum United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Pathum United
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
20 Oct
Chonburi
2 : 5
Pattaya City
17 Oct
Chonburi
1 : 2
Prachuap
11 Oct
Sisaket United
2 : 1
Chonburi
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

Pathum United

(Away)
21 Oct
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Pathum United
18 Oct
Sisaket United
1 : 1
Pathum United
15 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 2
Adelaide Utd
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Port MTI FC 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
4 Ratchaburi 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Pathum United 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Chiangrai Utd 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
13 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)