Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chonburi vs Prachuap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chonburi host Prachuap in the Thai League 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Prachuap have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Chonburi have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Chonburi have won 0 to Prachuap's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Prachuap to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chonburi
15%
Draws
59%
Prachuap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prachuap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chonburi haven't matched Prachuap's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Prachuap's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 17%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Prachuap
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chonburi
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Prachuap
1:1
May 12, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Prachuap
1:1
Dec 15, 2023 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chonburi
3:1
Feb 11, 2023 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Chonburi
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 28 / 100
Prachuap 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Prachuap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prachuap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chonburi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Prachuap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Chonburi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Prachuap
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

Prachuap

(Away)
19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3
Prachuap
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)