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Chonburi vs Uthai Thani

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Djalo M.
32'
Gomis C.
39' Event
Bolingi J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chonburi and Uthai Thani finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chonburi
15%
Draws
59%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chonburi come out ahead of Uthai Thani on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 17%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chonburi Uthai Thani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Uthai Thani
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chonburi
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chonburi
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Uthai Thani
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chonburi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Uthai Thani Compare

Top Goalscorer Angha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chonburi 31 / 100
Uthai Thani 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chonburi Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chonburi scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Uthai Thani let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chonburi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chonburi VS Uthai Thani
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chonburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
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Uthai Thani

(Away)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)